As the remaining population of Canadians heads to the polls today, the outcome of the federal election will significantly impact the real estate market and the broader economy. Both the Liberal and Conservative parties have distinct policies around housing, taxation, and economic growth. Understanding how either party’s victory could affect homeowners, buyers, and investors — especially in Alberta — is crucial.
Here’s a breakdown of what each party’s platform could mean for the future of real estate:
Housing Supply and Affordability
Liberal Party: The Liberals propose a more active government role in tackling housing affordability. Their plans include:
Creating a federal agency, Build Canada Homes, to develop affordable housing on public land.
Eliminating GST on new homes under $1 million for first-time buyers, lowering upfront costs.
Massive public investment in non-profit, affordable, and rental housing — not just private developments.
Zoning reform: Supporting upzoning to allow multi-unit buildings in more neighborhoods.
Partnering with cities and non-profits to push collaborative housing initiatives.
Introducing climate-friendly standards for new builds, like net-zero homes and retrofits.
Strengthening renter protections through potential federal frameworks or rent control funding.
Conservative Party: The Conservatives favor a market-driven strategy, aiming to accelerate private sector construction through:
Raising the GST rebate threshold to $1.3 million for new home purchases.
Forcing cities to increase housing starts by 15% yearly, with infrastructure funds tied to results.
Selling federal land and buildings to private developers to unlock more supply.
Slashing red tape: faster permits and fewer regulations.
Extending bans on foreign homeownership to keep speculation low.
Believing that boosting supply rapidly will naturally help curb rising prices.
If the Liberals win, the impact in Calgary might not be immediate, given the longer timelines typical of government-led initiatives. However, over time, we could see more affordable housing, stronger renter protections, and climate-focused developments — particularly with Calgary’s available land base. First-time buyers could also benefit from the GST exemption, although developers and investors might face more government oversight.
If the Conservatives win, the effects could come faster. Their push for deregulation, land sales, and higher GST rebates would likely accelerate private construction, especially in suburban areas. Developers and investors could benefit immediately, but without a corresponding flood of new supply, first-time buyers might still find prices out of reach.
Taxation and Investor Confidence:
Liberal Party: The Liberals plan to:
Keep the current capital gains tax structure (no increases).
Reduce the lowest income tax bracket by 1%, giving Canadians slightly more disposable income.
Conservative Party: The Conservatives propose:
A deeper cut in the lowest income tax bracket, from 15% to 12.75% — saving the average Canadian around $900 annually.
Allowing Canadians to defer capital gains taxes if they reinvest proceeds into Canadian companies — a major incentive for domestic investment.
In short: The Conservatives are offering more immediate financial relief through tax cuts and reinvestment incentives, while the Liberals are taking a steadier, more cautious approach focused on modest income tax relief.
Conclusion:
Both parties are offering very different strategies for addressing real estate challenges, especially in Alberta.
The Liberals are banking on long-term affordability through large-scale public investment, first-time buyer incentives, renter protections, and climate-conscious construction. If they win, it’ll take time, but we could see a shift toward greater federal involvement in housing — and, ideally, more stability in the broader economy.
The Conservatives are going for a quick, market-driven fix — faster project approvals, bigger tax breaks, and deregulation. This could rapidly boost housing supply, especially in the suburbs, and possibly give Alberta's economy a short-term lift. But ironically, if Alberta’s economy surges, so could housing demand, keeping prices stubbornly high.
Ultimately, the choice comes down to what aligns most with your priorities—whether you're looking for long-term affordability, immediate financial relief, or incentives for investment. Go out and vote.