If you’ve been following Calgary’s housing market, you’ve likely noticed things starting to shift. The market as a whole is beginning to level out, with more signs of balance—neither buyers nor sellers are fully in control. That said, the picture changes depending on the type of home. The most desirable properties are still moving fast and giving sellers an advantage, while other segments, like condos and townhomes, are leaning more toward buyers.
This kind of market is a shift from what we’ve seen in the past couple of years and it’s a sign that things might be stabilizing. For both buyers and sellers, it means a bit more strategy is involved, and the playing field is starting to even out.
Let’s take a look at what this means on both sides, and what we can expect heading into the rest of 2025.
What Is a Balanced Market, Anyway?
A balanced real estate market is when the number of homes for sale and the number of buyers are pretty much in sync. This means homes sell at a steady pace, prices stay stable, and there’s room for some back-and-forth without either side having a big advantage. In Calgary right now, we’re seeing about 2.4 months of inventory and a sales-to-new-listings ratio around 50%—signs that the market’s cooling off from the craziness of the past couple years. It’s a more balanced, predictable market where neither buyers nor sellers hold all the cards.
What’s Causing the Shift?
Calgary's real estate market is shifting toward a more balanced state due to several key factors:
Increased Housing Supply: Inventory levels have risen significantly, with over 4,000 active listings in February 2025, a 76% increase year-over-year. This surge provides buyers with more options and reduces the intensity of bidding wars.
Moderating Sales Activity: Sales have decreased by 19% compared to the previous year, indicating a slowdown in market activity. This trend suggests a move away from the previous seller's market dynamics.
Lower Interest Rates: The Bank of Canada has reduced its policy interest rate to 3% as of January 2025, following several consecutive cuts. These lower rates are expected to ease lending conditions, making homeownership more accessible and stimulating buyer demand.
Slowing Migration Trends: While Calgary continues to experience population growth, the rate of increase has slowed. This moderation in migration is expected to ease housing demand pressures, contributing to a more balanced market.
What This Means If You’re a Buyer:
Good news! The market has finally shifted in your favour:
You’ve got options: More listings mean you don’t have to rush or settle for something that’s just okay. With more variety to choose from, you can take your time, compare properties, and find the right home at the right price—often with room to negotiate on terms, price, and conditions.
You can negotiate: We’re not seeing as many bidding wars, so you might have some room to work on price, possession dates, or conditions that are more favourable to both parties.
Affordability is (slightly) better: Lower rates and more competition among sellers could help you get a better deal — especially in condos and townhomes where there tends to be more inventory—giving you a better shot at finding something within your budget without having to stretch too far.
What About Sellers?
It’s not all doom and gloom, but it does mean you’ve got to be smart:
Pricing matters more than ever: Buyers have more choices, so pricing your home right is key to a quick sale. An overpriced home can sit on the market and turn off buyers, while a well-priced one grabs attention, creates urgency, and can spark multiple offers. The right price brings serious buyers through the door fast.
Presentation is key: First impressions matter. With more options available, buyers are picky—so a clean, well-staged home stands out, makes a great first impression, and can lead to faster, better offers. Simple touch ups go a long way.
Know your competition: Knowing what else is for sale in your community helps you price your home competitively, understand what buyers are comparing it to, and spot trends in what features are attracting offers. It also gives you a feel for current market conditions and helps you position your home to stand out with the right marketing and potential upgrades.
What’s Coming for the Rest of 2025?
Most experts are expecting the market to stay fairly steady for the rest of the year. Sales are projected to stay strong — even a little above the long-term average — but we’re not looking at huge price jumps. CREB is forecasting around 3% price growth overall, which is much more sustainable than what we saw during the peak frenzy.
As for interest rates? They could come down a bit more, which might give the market another little boost — but no one’s expecting a dramatic shift either way.
Conclusion:
Overall, Calgary's real estate market in 2025 is expected to remain strong, with steady price growth and a shift toward balanced conditions. While the market shows resilience, potential economic risks should be considered when making investment decisions.
Whether you’re buying, selling, or just watching from the sidelines, this shift to a balanced market is actually a good thing. It means less chaos, more predictability, and better opportunities for everyone — as long as you’re strategic and well-informed.
Need help navigating it all? Don’t go it alone. Work with someone who knows the Calgary market inside and out — because timing, pricing, and strategy matter more now than they have in years.